
Get a cup of coffee. I'm talking about a complicated little dance here. (And that's the Gettysburg Address at left.)
So, politics. Although I have lived here for the better part of three years, now, I still know very little, relatively speaking, about Canadian politics. However, while I was gone, a really weird thing happened. It's weird to those of us used to the political system south of 49 and it's even unique up here. By the way, this is all federal stuff, not that the province of Ontario isn't weird enough in its own way.
The current Canadian government is a minority government. That means that the ruling party elected more members than the other parties, but not 50% or more of the total membership. So the Conservatives, led by Stephen Harper, form a government only when they have support from other parties.
Here are the totals for the main parties now:
Conservative: about 125
Liberal: about 96
Bloc: about 49
NDP: about 30
Independent: 3
There are 304 MPs now and my totals add up to 303, so someone has one more member than I counted, hence the "abouts" above. But it gives you an idea. With 304 MPs, a majority government has to have 153 members--or a minority government has to have 153 votes to get its way.
Right now, either the Bloc Quebecois or the NDP (barely) can support the Conservatives in creating a government. The Liberal party, of course, also has enough members to be the kingmaking party, but as the primary opposition party, it's not usually in their best interest to vote with the Conservatives.
Periodically, the party in power brings forward bills that are considered "confidence" bills. If they aren't passed, the government falls and the Canadians have to elect new federal representatives. Basically, it's suddenly election season, which everybody complains about as expensive and uncomfortable (especially with winter approaching). (I say that if they want expense and discomfort, they should try campaigning a full TWO YEARS before an election in winter in someplace like Iowa or New Hampshire when nobody will cough up buck$ to anyone other than a big name.)
Anyway, confidence. Usually, a confidence motion relates to money--funding the government. While I was gone, Prime Minister Harper brought forward a budget. The Bloc and NDP quickly announced that they would not support the budget. That meant that the Liberal party would be responsible for the fall of the government OR for supporting the current government--its opposition.
Aside from discomfort and expense, federal elections are risky for the two major parties because the balance of power could change dramatically. The Liberals don't want an election now because the Canadian public doesn't seem too put out with the Conservatives. There's not much chance that the Liberals would win more seats, and there's a huge chance that the Liberals would lose seats. The Conservatives might even win enough votes--if the Canadians were irritated with the Liberals for forcing an election--to have a majority government, which is way more powerful. So the Liberals couldn't oppose this budget last month and cause the government to fall.
However, they apparently couldn't support the Conservative budget, either. And for Americans, used to seven years of Democrats (not to mention the press!) caving in to support Republican harebrained schemes to e.g. bomb developing nations and continue to do so, this is the weird part. The leader of the Liberals forced all Liberals to abstain from voting on the budget--what's called a whipped abstention. Whipped abstentions are certainly oddities up here; this may have been the first one.
I think it was supposed to be a grand gesture on the part of the Liberals. An oxymoronic one, though--a gesture made up of a refusal to move off center. (Or perhaps it was just moronic.)
All I can say is, the Liberals are pretty whipped, all right. Their opposition to the Conservative government has turned into the equivalent of muttering around the water cooler but sucking up to the boss in person. And whether they consider "the boss" to be Stephen Harper's Conservative government or the Canadian voting public doesn't matter. Either way, the Liberal leader looks weak. The party has bought itself more time to regroup from losing to Harper--but it will need all the time it can get.
But then, what do I know. I think Democrats should stop funding the Iraq war, even in six-month increments, and question the very name of the Patriot Act. Neither of those has happened, either.
Which reminds me. I know when the next election will be in the U.S.--and I have a year to figure out how to vote absentee. Better start reading through the bureaucratese.